The response of CO2 emissions to the business cycle: New evidence for the U.S.
Date Issued
2019
Author(s)
Abstract
This paper investigates the response of CO2 emissions to the business cycle for the U.S. on a monthly basis between 1973-2015. Using a rolling-regression approach, we find that the emissions elasticity with respect to GDP is not constant over time, irrespective which filtering method, such as the Hodrick-Prescott, the Baxter-King, the Christiano-Fitzgerald or the Butterworth filter has been employed. In order to check whether or not emissions react differently during normal and recession times, next, we employ a Markov-switching approach. We find, first, that emissions are significantly more elastic during recessions, than in normal times. Second, depending on the filtering method, we also obtain parameter estimates of the emissions elasticity above one in recession times and below one in normal times. Thus, environmental policy instruments not turning out to be sub-optimal should account for this asymmetric response of emissions due to changes in GDP.
Subjects
Business cycle
;
CO2 emissions
;
Rolling-regression
;
Markov-switching
Institution
Type
journal article
Journal/Edited collection
Page number
25
Secondary publication
No
Language
German
File(s)![Thumbnail Image]()
Loading...
Name
00107732-1.pdf
Size
1.23 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum
(MD5):5ad4efb8c187a9c05c77ef9e73c6a462